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Housing market conditions rebounds to pre-credit crunch highs

05 January 2010

Four out of five UK homeowners believe that property values are set to rise over the first half of 2010, according to the latest Zoopla.co.uk Housing Market Sentiment Survey.

This is a marked turnaround from just one year ago, which marked the low point for housing market confidence, when only one in five homeowners was optimistic about the house price outlook.

Key Points:

- 81% of homeowners believe UK home values will rise over the next six months

- Homeowners predict 5.7% growth in average house price over next six months

- Three-quarters of buyers say no improvement in mortgage funding availability

- Scots confident about rising house prices but Northern Irish are not optimistic

Of the 10,732 respondents to the survey, 81% expect that home values will rise, with only 10% expecting values to fall over the next six months. The average growth predicted amongst those surveyed is for house prices in their area to increase 5.4% over the next six months whilst, somewhat unrealistically, they expect their own home value to rise by 5.7% over the same period.

Housing transactions show an 87% correlation to the Zoopla.co.uk Confidence Index, lagging movements in confidence by around three months, which indicates that transactions volumes are likely to rise in the coming months.

But, confidence alone is not enough to boost activity in the housing market and much depends on the availability of mortgage funding. 75% of those surveyed claim that it is no easier now to get a mortgage than three months ago, placing the onus on lenders to work to increase confidence and help further lift the transaction volumes.

Homeowners once again signalled in the survey that the clearest signal to them of a property market recovery would be evidence of greater market activity in their local area, both in terms of more properties on the market for sale and more transactions taking place.

Across the UK, the Scots appear most optimistic about the outlook for the property market in 2010, with 84% expecting house prices to rise over the next six months, compared to 81% in England and 79% in Wales.

Homeowners in Northern Ireland are least confident, with only 68% predicting a recovery and one in three expecting values to show no improvement in the near term.

Nicholas Leeming, Commercial Director of Zoopla.co.uk, said:

“This time last year, confidence in the property market was at rock bottom and the outlook was bleak. But, a year is a long time in the housing market and, whilst the recovery is still in its infancy, optimism is now back to levels not seen since the credit crunch began in 2007.

"The shortage of homes for sale has prevented any improvement in transaction levels over recent months but with increased confidence amongst owners about putting their homes on the market to match the pent-up demand from buyers, we could see a welcome boost to the recovery of the housing market.”

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